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  • vortmax2 - Tuesday, October 10, 2017 - link

    Interesting stuff. Seems Lvl 4 and 5 is a long way off. I'm really liking tech like Subaru Eyesight and equiv...every car should be equipped with that type of system.
  • Yojimbo - Wednesday, October 11, 2017 - link

    To bootstrap level 4 and 5 autonomous driving will probably require training in simulated (virtual) environments. I would think that then the system could be demonstrated under level 3 circumstances in the real world. Each time a human has to take over it would be considered a failure. If the system proves itself under extensive testing of this sort, then I assume regulators would be willing to allow that system to operate as a level 4 or level 5 vehicle.

    So it's definitely several years off, but I don't think it has to be a long way off, depending on what you meant by "a long way".
  • vortmax2 - Wednesday, October 11, 2017 - link

    Thinking 7-10 yrs. Hoping sooner as this tech could save many lives - with that said, there should be some studies around the social and legal implications of fully autonomous driving. I'd bet there will be big ramifications in both those spaces that aren't comprehended (e.g., smartphone tech and their impact on our younger generations).

    Today, I'd like to see a new, mandatory safety standard for all cars sold in the US to included both the lane and brake assist tech. These alone would save many lives and the investment costs easily covered by less insurance claims. Have the insurance companies subsidize some of the cost. Just a thought.
  • Yojimbo - Wednesday, October 11, 2017 - link

    I think 7 to 10 years sounds like a fair estimate. Probably no less than 5.
  • Yojimbo - Wednesday, October 11, 2017 - link

    Just a small comment. I think when the presenter wrote "Redundancy is not a goal, it's a mean" he meant to instead write "Redundancy is not a goal, it's a means", as in, it's a way to achieve a goal. The goal is to have a low failure in time (FIT) rate and redundancy is a means to achieve that goal.
  • vortmax2 - Wednesday, October 11, 2017 - link

    I'm surprised there aren't any more comments on this...tech that will impact more lives (no pun intended) than any SSD, DDR, CPU, or GPU...lol
  • zodiacfml - Sunday, October 15, 2017 - link

    I'm beginning to feel that max speed will be restricted for autonomous cars at around less than 100kph. The argument would be to minimize damage if it fails. The slower speed would be easily favored as it is more economical, less damage potential, and few people would care as they will be to do other things
  • acochrane - Monday, November 6, 2017 - link

    The mean time between failures will be way lower than it is for windows os. My opinion is that drivers who don't join the flow of traffic cause more uncertainty for everyone else on the road. Likewise, limiting the speed of an autonomous car below the average rate of traffic would make it a headache for the rest of traffic and result in more complicated driving patterns, increasing the chance for an accident to occur. I think eventually the safest and most efficient traffic will occur when all the cars are autonomous.

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